Atlantic Hurricane Season Has Been Quiet:That's About to Change

Satellite image shows shows potential storm 'stronger than Ophelia' heading for Ireland

The National Hurricane Center is now predicting a 10 percent chance that this tropical wave develops into a tropical depression or tropical storm as it moves away from Tampa Bay toward the central Gulf Coast.

A tropical disturbance and its associated area of thunderstorms was located near the Dominican Republic on Friday morning, moving in the direction of South Florida.

The system is expected to become a tropical storm late Thursday or Friday, and become a hurricane by Sunday. It's not even a tropical depression, but it's packing quite a bit of moisture.

But a separate circulation center closer to the Azores is what's forecast to send the potential tropical cyclone near the Cabo Verde Islands northwest into the Central Atlantic, said AccuWeather hurricane expert Dan Kottlowski. The chance of development by Monday morning as it reaches South Florida is only 10 percent, the National Weather Service said in its 10 a.m. Saturday Labor Day weekend briefing.

"Forecasters have indicated that the system is now projected to continue on a west-northwest path for the next several days, taking it north of the Caribbean Islands", the DDM said.

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Labor Day weekend looking increasingly like a washout in Panama City Beach.

Hurricane season ends November 30, but September 10 is historically the "peak" day for storm activity in the Atlantic.

It is still too early for specific details like: who will see the heaviest rain or whether it actually forms into a named system.

Their current 7-day forecast is for mostly warm and dry weather with temperatures climbing to 21C as high pressure develops over Ireland. Strong upper-level winds will keep it from organizing into a tropical system before it arrives in Florida, but it may strengthen once it passes over the state and into the Gulf of Mexico.

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